Ivory CoastCIV
NorwayNORAI Predictions
AI Consensus
2 of 4 AIs predict: Ivory Coast Win
RESULT: Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway · 2 AIs correct
Expected Goals
| AI | CIV xG | NOR xG | Total | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.90 | 62% |
 | 1.10 | 1.60 | 2.70 | 48% |
 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 2.60 | 65% |
 | 1.10 | 1.70 | 2.80 | 54% |
| Average | 1.35 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 57% |
Prediction Analysis
“Market underprices Ivory Coast (28% normalized) relative to their tournament form, defensive solidity and slightly fresher legs; Norway's Haaland-led attack is potent but their defensive fragility and fatigue risk lower Norway's true win probability. I estimate Ivory Coast win probability at ~38%, giving value vs the market-priced ~27%.”
“Norway favored by Squad Analyst (Haaland elite form, 4G in 2 apps; strong midfield control). Market prices Norway at 47.6% but Squad Analyst conviction (0.78) and Form Analyst's recent volatility assessment suggest 40% is fair. Away at 2.1 (47.6% implied) offers modest edge when true probability is ~40%. Neutral venue removes home bias; Norway's attacking superiority (3.1 goals/game vs Ivory Coast's 1.89) is decisive factor.”
“The market implies only a 27.1% chance for an Ivory Coast win. My analysis, based on squad balance and form, places their win probability at 40%, creating a massive value edge at these odds.”
“Squad analyst's strong verdict on Norway's elite quality and Haaland's dominance (8.35 rating) outweighs form/context leans toward Ivory Coast; my 39% win probability exceeds market's ~47.6% implied (adjusted for overround) creating positive EV on the favorite.”
Premium AI Predictions
PRO3 of 4 Premium AIs predict: Ivory Coast Win
From ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
0.92
Total Goals
2.76
BTTS
58%
Full analysis from Opus 4.8, GPT-5.5 & more
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AI Predictions
Score: 2-1
xG: 1.7 vs 1.2
Score: 1-2
xG: 1.1 vs 1.6
Score: 2-1
xG: 1.5 vs 1.1
Score: 1-2
xG: 1.1 vs 1.7
AI Reasoning
“Despite squad-level superstar advantage for Norway, Ivory Coast's tournament momentum, compact defensive structure and marginally better rest make a narrow Ivoirians win plausible — Norway will press and leave space for counters. The market overweights Haaland's finishing while underestimating Norway's defensive holes and Ivory Coast's ability to grind a knockout result, creating value on the Ivory Coast win at 3.50.”
Model: GPT-5 Mini
Expected Goals (xG)
3 goals from 3.13 xG
Team Statistics
Match Events
Formation
Top Performers
Starting XI & Substitutes
Player Stats
Ivory Coast| Player | Min | Rtg | G | A | Sh | SoT | Pas | Tkl | YC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amad Diallo ★ | 34 | 9.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | — | 0 |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| Yan Diomande | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | 94 | 7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| Yahia Fofana | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | 0 |
| Odilon Kossounou | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 87 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| Christ Inao Oulaï | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| Guéla Doué | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| Ghislain Konan | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| Franck Kessié | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| Elye Wahi | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 0 |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Oumar Diakité | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 0 |
| Bazoumana Touré | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Evann Guessand | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Player Stats
Norway| Player | Min | Rtg | G | A | Sh | SoT | Pas | Tkl | YC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Berg | 94 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| Ørjan Nyland | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | 0 |
| Kristoffer Ajer | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 94 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| Erling Haaland | 94 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | — | 0 |
| Antonio Nusa | 71 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 1 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| Sander Berge | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| Oscar Bobb | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Fredrik Aursnes | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 0 |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 15 | — | 0 |
| Marcus Pedersen | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 29 | — | 0 |
| David Møller Wolfe | 94 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Sub-Agent Deep Dive
Squad Analyst
Ivory Coast arrive with a compact, midfield-driven profile: Y. Diomande and I. Sangaré have excellent club form this season and will provide control and chances from deep, while Y. Fofana has been reliable in goal. The forward line lacks a consistent club-season scorer beyond N. Pépé (good recent output but limited minutes), leaving the attack vulnerable if he is neutralised.
Norway is spearheaded by elite club form from E. Haaland (high conversion rate and top scorer) and creative output from M. Ødegaard, giving them a clear cutting edge in attack; their midfield is solid enough to supply chances. However, beyond Haaland the forward options have underwhelming club minutes/goals this season, making the side somewhat dependent on one man to finish chances.
Ivory Coast presents a young, energetic squad with promising midfield talent (Diomande 7.70, Sangaré 7.43) but severely limited attacking output. The forward line is underpowered—Pépé (7.17) has minimal minutes and Diallo/Bonny show inconsistent finishing despite decent underlying metrics. Defensively, the squad lacks cohesion with limited game time across the back line, and goalkeeper Fofana (7.30) has only 270 minutes of recent action.
Norway boasts a genuinely elite attacking threat anchored by Haaland (8.35 rating, 4 goals in 2 apps—league's 5th top scorer). Ødegaard (7.30) provides creative support, and the midfield is balanced with Berge and Aursnes offering defensive cover. However, goalkeeper depth is questionable (Nyland 35 years old, limited recent action), and the defense shows moderate solidity but lacks elite-level performers. The 4-4-2 formation maximizes attacking potential but creates defensive vulnerabilities.
Ivory Coast boasts a well-balanced and athletic squad, with its core strength residing in a dynamic and defensively robust midfield. Key players like Y. Diomande and I. Sangaré are in excellent form, offering both creative distribution and a formidable shield for the backline. The team possesses multiple goal threats in attack and a reliable, high-performing goalkeeper.
Norway's squad is heavily reliant on the world-class talents of Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard. Haaland's current goal-scoring form is exceptional, making him arguably the most dangerous player in the tournament. However, the overall quality of the supporting cast in midfield and defense is significantly lower, creating a stark dependency on their two stars to produce moments of magic.
Ivory Coast shows solid midfield control led by high-performing Y. Diomande (7.70) and I. Sangaré (7.43) who dominate duels and key passes. Attack relies heavily on N. Pépé and A. Diallo but lacks depth and consistent output with low minutes and shot volume from the rest of the forward line. Defensive resilience is moderate with promising ratings from O. Diomande and W. Singo, yet overall squad experience and attacking quality lag behind elite levels.
Norway boasts an elite attacker in E. Haaland (8.35 rating, 4 goals in 180 minutes) creating a clear one-man-team dependency in the final third. Midfield is anchored by Ødegaard's creativity while the backline maintains respectable ratings, though several defenders show limited progressive actions. Goalkeeping is average with Nyland and Selvik posting modest ratings; the squad has strong overall caliber driven by Haaland but lacks balance and depth in attack.